Upon Further Analysis — Archives
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Civility and Bank Supervision
McGill University scholar John A. Hall describes civility as the “glue that holds society together.” Civility, or the lack thereof, comes up in politics, the workplace, and our personal lives. The role of civility in bank supervision presents an interesting case in point. The relationship between banks and their supervisors is inherently adversarial, but also…
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Regulatory Limbo
July 27, 2024 will mark the one-year anniversary of the Basel Endgame proposal. The negative response to the proposal means that a revised version isn’t likely until sometime next year. Meanwhile the Basel Endgame will remain in regulatory limbo. Finalizing regulations can take time, but some get enacted more quickly than others. The speed of…
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Are Regulators Cracking Down on Interest Rate Risk?
The Federal Reserve’s post-mortem following the Silicon Valley Bank failure stressed the “need to evaluate how we supervise and regulate a bank’s management of interest rate risk.” Other bank regulators have noted similar concerns. It’s now 16 months since SVB’s failure. What actions have regulators taken (or not taken) to address interest rate risk? SVB…
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How a Bank Examiner Might Analyze a Baseball Statistic
Baseball enthusiasts may be the nerdiest of sports fans. From the development of the box score in 1858, there has long been an obsession with statistics. These statistics have grown increasingly complex with the advent of sabermetrics, aka Moneyball. OPS, WHIP, and FIP have replaced old school stats like batting average, RBIs, and won-loss records.…
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Banks, Regulation, and Reputation Risk
Attempts to limit reputation risk considerations…make for a sort of enforced shortsightedness. Reputational risk can cause real, monetary damage, but that damage is hard to quantify before the fact. You should weigh not just benefits and risks that are easily quantifiable but to also consider those that aren’t.
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Secrecy and Supervision
New banking regulations go through an extensive notice and comment period. Regulators provide sometimes excruciating detail on the proposed regulation’s rationale, benefits, and costs. On the other hand, supervision of individual banks operates largely outside of the public view. Is this level of secrecy warranted? What’s the proper balance between the need to maintain confidentiality…
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Rethinking Core Deposits
Core deposits are an important but often elusive concept with implications for both interest rate risk and liquidity. A strong core deposit base can help insulate a bank from interest rate swings and market turmoil. Accurately defining and measuring core deposits remain significant challenges for regulators, bank managers, and analysts. How can recent experience help…
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A Deeper Dive into Uninsured Deposits
Last year’s bank failures brought increased attention to large, uninsured deposits and banks’ reliance on them as a source of funding. Taking a data-driven approach, I looked at the recent trend in uninsured deposits, the types of banks with the highest (and lowest) concentrations of uninsured accounts, and whether and to what extent deposit concentrations…
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Key Takeaways from the Republic First Bank Failure
Regulators closed Philadelphia-based Republic First Bank on April 26, 2024. Fulton Bank, NA assumed most of Republic First’s deposits and assets in an FDIC-assisted transaction. The FDIC’s Inspector General will likely conduct a Failed Bank Review that will try to identify the causes of Republic First’s failure. In the meantime, here are some takeaways based…
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Do Higher Interest Rates Benefit banks?
It’s practically an article of faith in some quarters that higher interest rates benefit banks. But is this really the case? Recent experience has led some to challenge this assumption. Rates have started to trend up again with 2024 rate cuts looking less frequent and less likely. A closer look at the evidence suggests that…